Published: February 28, 2021
46
191
981

1/ @CathieDWood is in a dire liquidity trap w/ 18 of her positions worth $9.6bn (19% of NAV). Japan's Nikko paid ARK to mimic $ARKK & sell it in Japan. What shows up as Nikko's positions are often held in equal size by Sumitomo Mitsui. This amplifies ARK's exposure by 1.8x

Image in tweet by Motorhead
Image in tweet by Motorhead
Image in tweet by Motorhead
Image in tweet by Motorhead

2/ This is a list of ARK's 18 most illiquid holdings, in terms of the # of trading days it would take ARK to exit its position based on avg 30-day volume. $MTLS is a great example: ARK's stake alone would take 18 days to sell. Add Nikko + Sumitomo & now it's 30 days of volume.

Image in tweet by Motorhead

3/ @ARKInvest is so bad at risk management that it invited Nikko to add to positions in which ARK was already oversized. This creates a circular firing squad, where $ARKK selling spurs Nikko selling & vice versa. ARK's biggest ownership stakes (LEFT); Nikko's (RIGHT).

Image in tweet by Motorhead
Image in tweet by Motorhead

END/ The avg PBR of these 18 oversized $ARKK positions is 9x & only 5 are forecast to be profitable in 2023. Stocks like $MTLS, in which ARK faces the biggest liquidity trap, have been struggling for years. Some, like $CERS are held by savvy biotech investors like Baker Bros.

Image in tweet by Motorhead

Share this thread

Read on Twitter

View original thread

Navigate thread

1/4