Published: December 4, 2022
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Technical Analysis and 3 Strategies to deploy for Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative Traders. đź§µ Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 8th December Expiry:

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

To form a view, let's have a look at: 1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis 2. Option Chain Data Also, 3 strategies to deploy for: 1. Aggressive Traders (2.6%) 2. Moderate Risk Traders (1.3%) 3. Low-Risk Traders (0.8%)

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

1. Technicals Let's start by doing some basic technical analysis. We'll look at: • Weekly charts. • Daily charts. • Hourly / 60 min charts. • 15 min charts.

1. Weekly- • The market has given 4 continuous green closes, so not expecting a big momentum on upside. • This week my view is that it can take a pause. • Longer term trend is super bullish. • Any dip will towards 41800 will be a retest, and should be used to go long.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

2. Daily: • Candlestick pattern—Hanging Man • Chart Pattern—Breakout Failure • A pin bar candle is very powerful but only after a downmove. • Here it forms near the top of upmove. • Means some sellers are present. Below 43000 can sell calls above 43600 for the week.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

3. 15 mins • I am seeing this rectangle on 15 min charts. • Price broke the rectangle on the upside & failed to sustain. • Now it's back in the rectangle. • So weekly sellers can sell short strangles & if the rectangle low breaks, can roll down calls to a higher premium.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

Option chain data: • Opstra shows that the options chain data is flat to bearish. • OI is being added on both sides on ATM options. • Data is matching with our bias and technicals which is sideways until the rectangle low/high is broken.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

This is the Option Chain Data I have taken from @iChartsIndia website. The premiums are shown here for the strikes.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

Strategies to deploy? 1. Aggressive Traders Aggressive traders would have sold 415003600 calls as that's one strike above the breakout failure level. Would have also sold puts as it is in a range. 42500 puts. ROI is around 2.60%

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

2. Moderate Risk Traders Can sell strangles of 44000 calls and 42300 puts. ROI is approximately 1.34%.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

3. Conservative Traders Can sell 44200 calls and 42000 puts. This is a strangle. Fetches you approximately 0.8% ROI. You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF. 4 expires per month to make 0.50% each week and end with 2%.

Image in tweet by Aditya Todmal

If you ❤️ this analysis and derived some value from it, consider liking and sharing the first tweet. Check out @niki_poojary's analysis which she will post before Monday, hers is a bit different from mine each time. Retweet the first tweet and help others find this thread.

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