GW4 Mega Thread 🧵 ♦️ FH4 vs WC4 vs No chips GW4 👀 ♦️ Best Sarr Replacement ❓ ♦️ Stat Graphs ✅ ♦️ Best Differentials 🔥 ♦️ Team Selection GW4 🔒 ♦️ Captaincy 🇧🇷 vs 👑 vs 🤖 Follow @fpl_footbalherd 👈
1/6♦️FH4 vs WC4 🚨 I am team NO CHIPS IN GW4 Let's talk about FH first! Q) When should you FreeHit in GW4? -If you don't have triple/double Liverpool against Burnley in GW4 -If you have too many injuries to handle -If you have double/triple NFO and want to hold them beyond GW4
Q) Why you shouldn't FH4? -FH6 is enticing with Haaland against Burnley -Can be used later due to injuries or better windows ✅ -The season has just started. We will be understanding team trends better in the subsequent GWs
If you're willing to FH4 then this draft looks the best to me! ⭐Triple Liverpool ⭐Double Palace ⭐Double Chelsea
♦️Wildcard GW4 Don't like it at all 😐 Why?? It's too early to make decisions like Ekitike, Gakpo will be short term ( Isak will be long term) You will want to give Rogers/Watkins one more week atleast 🤞...
...NFO assets are dicey now(new manager bounce+ wood dilemma in new pressing system) You had built that GW1 team thinking about atleast 5-6 GWs There are better windows to use WC (like GW13)
If you feel your team requires open heart surgery then this is the draft I feel makes sense right now! ⭐Mix of nailed heavyhitters & budget enablers ⭐Triple Liverpool (Ekitike can be Isak later when required) ⭐Add one more ARS asset after GW6 ⭐Double CRY & BOU (form+fixture)
2/6♦️ Best Sarr Replacement ❓ "It's not too serious, probably he will miss the SUN game only" 👀 If you have bench cover you should bench Sarr since there aren't any direct replacements of him in his price bracket. However, if you don't have a good starter you can opt for 👇
🔵 Grealish (EVE) 🅰️ Assists: 4 ⚽ Goals: 0 from 4 shots 🎯 Big Chances Created: 2 📊 xGI: 1.6 📈 % Goal Involvement: 80% 🧮 Expected Points: 12.09 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 22 Over-performing currently but we will have the old Grealish of Aston Villa in the long run ⭐
🔴 Tavernier (BOU) 🅰️ Assists: 0 ⚽ Goals: 1 from 7 shots 🎯 Big Chances Created: 0 📊 xGI: 1.1 📈 % Goal Involvement: 25% 🧮 Expected Points: 13.62 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 18 A very underrated asset playing in the Bournemouth attack who are looking lethal going forward!
🟤 Ndoye (NFO) 🅰️ Assists: 1 ⚽ Goals: 1 from 1 shot 🎯 Big Chances Created: 1 📊 xGI: 0.5 📈 % Goal Involvement: 50% 🧮 xPoints: 8.13 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 17 Brilliant start to his PL career. It can only get better with Ange at the helm. Fixtures get easier from GW5
3/6♦️ Stat Graphs 📊 1️⃣st Graphic - xGC mapped for each team to understand how leaky they are defensively 2️⃣nd graphic- Team performance (Goals-xG) Orange shows Under-performing ( Brighton ,United missing plenty of sitters ) Blue shows Over-performing (LIV, SUN and ARS)
🛑Defenders Lower xGC and Higher xGl is the best selection. Even though the sample size is of just 3 GWs still in the gameweeks to come the top left quadrant players will be deeply coveted! Calafiori, Timber, Chalobah in the best quadrant followed by Munoz and Porro ✅
🛑Midfielders xGI vs Goal Contribution (G+A) Four players stand out followed by the bunch of 2 Goal Contribution assets. We favour the right top quadrant who will have maximum xGI and GC Enzo, Grealish, Semenyo, Anthony in the same cluster ✅
🛑Forwards xGI vs Goal Contribution (Goals+Assist) The three forwards lead the line with 3/4 goal contributions in the first 3 GWs followed by the bunch of forwards with 1/2 goal contribution You can clearly see Haaland is underperforming whereas Joao Pedro is Over-performing
4/6♦️ Best Differentials 👀 ⭐Senesi (5.9% ownership) 🅰️ Assists: 1 ⚽ Goals: 0 from 1 shot 🎯 Big Chances Created: 0 📊 xGI: 0.2 📈 % Goal Involvement: 25% 🧮 xPoints: 12.58 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 25 DEFCON magnet 🧲 Set piece threat with decent upcoming fixtures
⭐Evanilson (2.3% ownership) 🅰️ Assists: 0 ⚽ Goals: 1 from 8 shots 🎯 Big Chances Created: 1 📊 xGI: 0.8 📈 % Goal Involvement: 25% 🧮 Expected Points: 9.91 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 11 Very underrated asset having huge potential and great underlying numbers ✅
⭐Dewsbury-Hall (4.5% ownership) 🅰️ Assists: 1 ⚽ Goals: 1 from 1 shot 🎯 Big Chances Created: 3 📊 xGI: 1.3 📈 % Goal Involvement: 40% 🧮 Expected Points: 9.44 🏆 Actual Points (Last 3 GWs): 16 A cheaper Grealish 👀 Playing through the middle of the newly built Everton attack!
5/6♦️Team Selection GW4 🔒 -Wan-Bissaka↪️ Munoz -Starting Reinildo and benching Williams -Giving one more week to Wirtz and Bowen -Sanchez starts in goal -Armband between Salah and Joao Pedro
6/6♦️ Captaincy Metrics 🧢 📍Safe pick- Salah due to very high effective ownership and an easy Burnley game ! 📍Maximum upside - Haaland (Loves to score against United , insane record historically) 📍Median pick - Joao Pedro (most owned asset against Brentford, insane form)
@fpl_footbalherd I’m in the same boat as you (no chips used yet); benched Sarr, brought in Richarlison for Wood this week as I think Brazilian is being overlooked for West Ham game: very suspect defence. 😉
@RodneyMcCain Richarlison is a good move but maybe short team. I feel Spurs have a lot of attackers now which makes it difficult to pick one from the lot.
@fpl_footbalherd Informative thread as always 👏🏽 Followed you too 💯 Kindly follow back too ✅
@AtuegwuH Cheers















