Published: October 6, 2025
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The Ukrainian project @hochuzhit_com has published a photo of a document with Russian losses over 8 months, from January to September 2025. According to it, total KIA numbers 86,744, roughly 10,843 per month, which is very close to our earlier estimates. Total losses are 281,550

Image in tweet by Tatarigami_UA

2/ The published document contains a breakdown by units. Our team will work tonight to verify whether the numbers match the Russian documents we have on hand, but at first glance, it appears authentic. Notably, over 33,966 are listed as MIA, so the majority of them are likely KIA

Image in tweet by Tatarigami_UA

3/ This is very close to our earlier estimates published in July and August, which pointed to 8,400–10,500 KIA per month. These estimates have proven to be quite accurate, demonstrating that our methodology is precise and reliable

4/ We recommend checking the original thread by I Want To Live https://x.com/hochuzhit_com/st...

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com On average, 10,000 killed and 20,000 wounded per month; with a recruitment rate of 30–35,000 per month, rusland can keep fighting and fighting...

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com Are there any estimates of how many soldiers the Russians recruited from specific regions, or do we have to extrapolate based on deaths from sites like Mediazona?

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com What's happening in "Center"? 2 OA AND 20 A? Wen did they create a 20. CAA? is that what became of 22. AC?

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com Including the MIA, who are likely almost all KIA, it's 120k in 8 months, which means that Rubio was telling the Truth when he said 100k KIA just in the First 6 months of 2025.

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com 8 months? So not including September? Insane numbers...

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com from those ca. 200k WIA, I assume 50% are irreversible losses. 🇺🇦 might be on 1/3 of the losses. So ca.30k KIA and 80-90k WIA. Still mindblowing numbers

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com Your thread is gaining traction! #TopUnroll https://threadreaderapp.com/th... 🙏🏼@picaroly for 🥇unroll

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com If to add 34000 "missing" to the killed list, it would be almost 120000 killed.

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com Some of the MIA`s are probably deserters, but still these numbers are staggering. Around 500 dead pr day......

@Tatarigami_UA @bayraktar_1love @hochuzhit_com It’s great to be able to cross check your work. Going forward it will allow for more even confidence in your estimates

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com So many dead ru-rats, the earth becomes much more cleaner thanks to Ukraine people.🙏

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com @hugoreitsma @ajboekestijn @robdewijk , 30K casualties lijkt bevestigd te worden. Iets voor de podcast?

@Tatarigami_UA @DefMon3 @hochuzhit_com Afghanistan from memory is 15000 killed in 10 years versus upwards to 11000 per month... This is just bonkers. And should be posted on Russian tv.

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com can you provide some context? Is this a russian document? From which russian agency? Really not clear from the intro...

@Tatarigami_UA @hochuzhit_com 20th army taking 30 KIA and 48 WIA seems... questionable.

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