@esrtweet "...nearby Communist power that can provide guns and money and safe areas for training camps, and is untouchable by the nation you're trying to subvert." For all practical purposes, large blue cities and blue states are such power. Unless and until the Federal govt starts

@arkadiybe No, you're overinterpreting the evidence. There's a very simple test for whether this is true or not: are blue-state governors actually running guns to Antifa operating in red states? The answer is of course no. Antifa can't operate in red states. Having tacit support from a

@esrtweet The Maoists selected rural China as their base of operations due to the low state capacity of the national government in those regions. I suspect Antifa has selected modern urban slums for the same reason.

@GrchyOldGzr Yes, I discussed this in one of my previous analysis posts.

@esrtweet If SHTF the playbook won't be classically Maoist but more like what @johnrobb describes.

@KnightOfTh3Wind @johnrobb I read that book. What Antifa wants can't be achieved with those tactics. In Unintended Consequences, the goal of the rebels wasn't to overthrow the entire system, just to make the cost of certain kinds of government action prohibitively high. Antifa can't be satisfied with

@esrtweet Any of the Chinese owned rural land across America possibly being used for antifa training purposes?

@BidenBeachHouse It's possible. We know the Chinese are funding some Antifa organizations, and it would be perfectly in accordance with Chinese strategic doctrine for them to do this. There are some practical issues, though. The US is not Southeast Asia, equipped with lots of convenient jungle

@esrtweet You are overestimating the ideological adherence of Antifa members. They are often in it for low-intensity violence, not the difficulties of a more intense insurgency. The better comparison is to the KKK (a cushy domestic terrorist organization) rather than the partisans (who did

@esrtweet As you describe, they passed the event horizon and it’s now outside of the hands of leadership. Even if you wanted to stop it from the top down, it’s not possible. Any attempt to do so will likely result in the most violent members switching sides and trying to kill their

@esrtweet Would be interesting to compare against the 1970s bombings by leftists.

@esrtweet As someone who has survived an insurrection like this, there is one keystone to everything: their tactics ONLY work if they control the media response. They escalate and then claim that the response is fascist/authoritarian/lawless/whatever, then repeat.

@esrtweet Somebody did try boxing in ICE officers and running them down in Chicago. https://www.fox32chicago.com/n...

@esrtweet Is Cuba actually training antifa types? I really don't see them caring enough about the US to do that even if the US couldn't glass them over a long weekend.

@esrtweet Suppose no such lethal incident occurs. What would you predict then? A collapse? How soon?

@esrtweet What is the likelihood that they will cooperate with foreign infiltration cells, already on the ground today? One play is to cause major damage to infrastructure (power, water, highways, bridges, etc).

@esrtweet They won't go like Che and Castro, or Mao, or Pol Pot, or Lenin and Trotsky. They'll go more like the IRA or FARC, except without a state patron like the USSR to back them (now that USAID is gone and other US funding funnels are being shuttered). Nasty, violent, and short.

@esrtweet The CCP is all in on sponsorship. Canada is a likely training ground alternative, as is Mexico currently. The CCP can dump as much cash on Commies as Qatar can on Muslims and Fascists, and has a much larger humint asset base.

@esrtweet “expect performative lethal violence.” It’s already happened here in Texas.

@esrtweet DOGE did serious damage to leftists’ funding. They may feel pressure to act before they run out of money to pay thugs and lawyers.

@esrtweet As I’m sure others of a certain age have noted, this has all been tried before, principally in the years 1968-72, though it sputtered on throughout the 70’s. That was a lot more violent in bombings, murder, assassinations and riots involving multiple thousands in cities around

@esrtweet It's going to get worse before it gets better. Brinton likens revolution to a fever. The fever has to break. The mental health crisis has been weaponized.

@esrtweet The remote rural areas are no good for them, so they will turn to recruiting reservoirs with the same functional features in the urban areas, teeming with losers and blighted by their omerta. Financers must be sanctioned and and indoctrinators ridiculed. Heavily.

@esrtweet What can we do to help eliminate or at least neutralize Antifa?

@esrtweet It's the cost of doing business. We knew this back in November. But no matter their fantasies, they're not the IRA, they're not the Bolsheviks, they're not even the Black Panthers. They think everyone is on their side when almost nobody is. This will be relatively easy.

@esrtweet Good write up. It seems unlikely that ANTIFA can get to stage 2 of an insurgency by Maoist definition. So far they are not hugely effective at stage 1. Time will tell.

@esrtweet weird how anybody could be anti- fascism https://youtu.be/_PW5vVv0tr4?s...

@esrtweet Maybe the troops for the insurgency will come from those military-age illegals, enough of whom are still skulking around the place. Your observations are spot on, though. Unlike Mao, the "sea they swim in" is irredeemably hostile to Antifa, & some are just waiting for an excuse.

@esrtweet @LegioInvictus24 "Rural Americans who hate their government, hate communism even more". Nailed it,bud.

@esrtweet Your analysis is insightful and compelling. Thanks.

@esrtweet Great post, and an important one -- thank you!

@esrtweet "rural Americans who hate their government hate Communism even more" - this, 1,000%

@esrtweet Nice analysis. Thank you.