The main use of tanks, IFV and AFV was during the Avdiivka-Donestk offensive, mainly between october 2023 and may 2024. Then, it was slowly abandonned. Since the first months of 2025, the use of armoured vehicles nearly disappeared.

Why ? Because Russia was slowly lacking reserves in armoured vehicles and drone warfare was making their use more and more dangerous. Most of them have been put away from the front during months and endured some changes.

Now that the summer is finishing, the roads are getting more and more muddy. It is thus impossible to do assaults with motorcycles and ladas while assaulting on foots without cover is increasingly dangerous. This is the main reason for this come back.

On these long videos published by ukrainian forces we can see columns of armoured vehicles and tanks assaulting ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk. For 2 months, russians have had difficulties to reach Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka, mainly failing to take strongholds.

One of the assaults was trying to reach Myrnohrad, especially taking control over the mine west of the city, a ukrainian stronghold. They lost 4 vehicles here.

Another axis was the Kostiantynivka-Pokrovsk highway. In this area, multiple russian columns have been destroyed in the previous months, one of the only one where they continued to send tanks and armoured vehicles.

However, the main assaulted direction is the village of Shakove, a ukrainian stronghold. Russia launched multiple armoured vehicles, hundreds of soldiers and motorcycles here to break the ukrainian defenses. Shakove is protecting the whole direction.

Despite multiple assaults on Volodymyrivka, just south of Shakove, the russians still didn't managed to take it. Now, it is mainly a grey zone and tens of soldiers have been brought here, they will probably try to gain a strong foothold here and in Shakove.

Using armoured vehicles is somewhat new this year, it is also the result of months of reinforcements. At 0:25 there is an interesting footage. You can see that the ditch forces the BTR to use the road, which has been mined. That's how dtches should be used.

The importance of fortifications : to reach Shakove from the main assault route, they need to stay on this road (because of the 6 anti-tank obstacles). -> it concentrates the ukrainian fire on a single road.

And it's exactly the same with infantry and barbed wire : They need to walk in the only zones where there are no barbed wire. Here, we can see a recent picture and a 1 month old one (Novotoretsk'e).

What is happening near Pokrovsk ? The grey zone is increasingly big, it is getting more and more difficult to consolidate any progress. Pokrovsk is still safe, fightings are ongoing in Rodynske and Udachne, while some infiltrations are ongoing in the south of the city.

The main objectif for russian forces now is to expand the Dobropilla bridgehead, by taking Shakove. Then, they will be able to connect again with their isolated troops north-west. They will also try to consolidate gains near Myrnohrad.

In one month, the tree cover will have disapeared, preventing infantry infiltration. The weather may affect drones, which is also important to remember. Thus, Russia has to reach (and consolidate around) Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka before the winter to assault it.

I finish this thread with the wide preparation of new defensive lines, especially away from Donbass region. Main new lines : -Pavlohrad-Novomykholaivka -Vilniansk-Zaporijia -3rd Donbass line (behind Kramatorsk)

@clement_molin Evil Ruzzian Summer Offensive has failed?

@clement_molin Juste où sont la trentaines de véhicules détruit, il faudrait tt de même le répéter que toucher un véhicule ne le détruit pas nécessairement et la vidéo de 8 min le montre parfaitement, la majorité sont en plus abandonnés et dans les vidéos diffusées très peu de corps vus

@clement_molin En résumé du métal fondu et une grosse communication pour faire croire à des assauts repoussés quand on apprendra que les russes ont maintenu une présence puis un contrôle des localités comme de nombreux exemples auparavant où ils étaient censés être éliminés et au faite non

@clement_molin @threadreaderapp unroll

@clement_molin @threadreaderapp unroll please

@clement_molin Toujours le même scénario, les mêmes erreurs . Les Ukrainiens semblent décidés à rejouer la défaite en boucle . Pokrovsk y passera aussi.