i recommend everyone read Probability Theory: The Logic of Science by E. T. Jaynes i am pretty sure this is the book Eliezer read that converted him to a hardcore bayesian if you want to know why everyone is talking about updating their priors, it all goes back to Jaynes
@prerationalist you are correct about eliezer but I wouldn't unreservedly recommend it
@4confusedemoji i like it. i think it's funny how jaynes is constantly switching between calculus and dunking on everyone he disagrees with
@prerationalist One thing to understand is probably the context of Fisher always... swinging his dick around in the stats community around the time Jaynes would've been forming opinions
@prerationalist Like, the adversarial thing was not in a vacuum. The entire framing of frequentist versus Bayesian was, like, a consequence of, like, Fisher's ego and the reaction to it, as best I can see.
@prerationalist ... Incidentally, the lack of measure theory in the sequences is a fucking crime.
@4confusedemoji @prerationalist Why? I like measure theory, but I can't imagine a situation where someone would make a mistake in practical rationality because they didn't know measure theory.
@williawa @prerationalist this is partly about the in person communities, in which words like "zero measure" got thrown around in such a way it made an underclass of sorts who didn't know, and also eliezer tried to out-jaynes jaynes and mostly leave out the calculus when he was explaining "bayes for
@williawa @prerationalist You are talking about a community of people who talks about the sleeping beauty problem for fun.
@williawa @prerationalist without knowing any measure theory.
@williawa @prerationalist That's what I'm saying is his fault.

