We’re entering bull market’s most dangerous yet rewarding stage: Some will make millions from $0 in weeks Many will lose years of gains overnight I’m at $7M now. But last cycle I went $130k down to $8k by playing it wrong. Here's how to play it right 🧵👇
➮ Before we start... I’d really appreciate a like, RT, or comment on the first tweet – I put a lot of effort into this thread.
1/➮ As I already said, we’re entering the final stage of the bull market ✧ Here, 20% of your actions bring 80% of the results(can turn $1k into $100k or lose $100k back to $1k just as fast) ✧ That’s why it’s crucial to know how to play it right Let’s dive in👇
2/➮ First, let’s make it clear, bull run hasn’t “just started,” despite what most CT infls scream to you ✧ Most ppl just want to believe that and they do, without actually understanding market cycles and their timings But here is the truth:
3/➮ Each bull run has lasted: 2015–2017: ~1065 days 2018–2021: ~1064 days ✧ Right now, BTC has already been growing for about 975 days, which points to the end of the bull run in ~2 months ✧ That's what I told about many times, peak at Nov-Dec 2025
4/➮ If the pattern repeats, this bull run will also last ~1065 days ✧ That means, we’ll likely see about 365 days of a bear market after that: 2017–2018: 364 days 2021–2022: 365 days So, how to prepare urself and make the most profit from late bull run?
5/➮ It’s also worth considering an alternative scenario: if you count a few dips and tops differently, BTC may have already topped on October 6. I see this as less likely, but it’s still a scenario to account for. https://x.com/nobrainflip/stat...
6/➮ Either way, if cycles continue to play out, the top is very close – or already in for BTC Altseason usually lasts a couple of months after BTC has topped. Accordingly, if the cycles don’t break – which is the most likely case – we should act based on that. Still, the
7/➮ There are 3 main things that change on this cycle stage: - Securing profits - How to ape into something - Monitoring cycles, patterns, and metrics Let’s break it down:
First, you need to understand that it’s time to start selling already ✧ It’s not a mistake to sell at ATH ✧ Most think bull runs last forever, but they don’t ✧ Every cycle, 90% of coins top early and then slowly bleed and some of your holdings won’t pump at all from now
I’ve already sold 50–70% of my $BNB, $ETH, $BTC holdings and moved about 80% into stables My size is bigger than most, so my risk is lower. But even if market keeps running, I’ll make money through speculation, volatile alts, and stables https://x.com/nobrainflip/stat...
$YP, $XPL, $PUMP: just by deploying stables into these plays I’ve already outperformed 90% of market, which keeps holding garbage while taking on much higher risk And I think there will be plenty more of tokensales to come, which is why liquidity is king https://x.com/nobrainflip/stat...
8/➮ Same as you were buying using DCA, now you should be selling even more aggressively ✧ Because 10.10.2025 showed us that we can dump hard in minutes, and u can’t do anything about it Unrealized PnL is not PnL (Btw, I called local top a day before) https://x.com/nobrainflip/stat...
9/➮ So that’s why I’m actively closing my long-term holdings, but it doesn’t mean I’m calling you to quit ✧ As I already said, now 20% of ur actions can make 80% of ur profit, but u need stables/short-term holdings to earn the most out of it So how to ape into something now👇
10/➮ Don’t DCA in ✧ Definitely no DCA for buying, because time is playing against us here and you don’t want to get trapped Before buying, consider: - total portfolio size - how exposed you are to the market - how much more risk can you take Let’s take a simple example👇
11/➮ Imagine you had $1k at the begginng of this cycle, made $10k already and now sitting all in stables How much of this profit can you risk? With current ICO narrative and BSC memeseason, you need to decide what % you can lose
12/➮ Now, if you’re already 100% in the market, the only smart move is to slowly take profits If you don't know whether to sell or not, just ask urself: "Would I buy this coin from the market rn?" If the answer is no, sell it
13/➮ Remember this is the end of the bull run, and narratives are shifting fast: ✧ ICO -> BSC memes -> ETH -> SOL -> Utility coins ✧ Don’t hold short-term bets for too long and don’t trade blindly Let me explain what I mean👇
14/➮ Most people trade like this: “This is a great entry (and they might be right), aping in, waiting for 4x to sell there.” ✧ That’s a 100% rekt strategy right now Don’t just set TP, but check: - Volume reaction - Structure and momentum - Sector behavior - BTC and ETH
15/➮ This applies not only to one bet but to your entire portfolio rn(monitoring other metrics) ✧ If volumes are going down, it might be close to the top, or maybe already happened ✧ Remember, you’re not the only player here and definitely not the smartest one
16/➮ That’s why your thesis should determine when you exit, not emotions, or hope ✧ That's where you get an edge, don’t marry your bags, cut them early, and slowly take profit while protecting your capital ✧ Only taking smart risks right now can still bring 100–200% profit
17/➮ Now about cycles ✧ Each one moves in the same overall way, with just small variations ✧ Right now, the current cycle feels a bit weaker for everyone Why? ✧ Cause BTC’s main rally is still overlapping with ETH’s, but we haven’t had a "proper" altseason yet
18/➮ But in reality, it's just not everything pumping like in 2021 (but many alts did 5-10x) ✧ You’re just a bit delusional because of that and don’t understand the following: Winners average winners - losers average losers Let me explain👇
19/➮ Don’t buy underperformers expecting them to suddenly catch up and do a quick 2-10x after BTC, ETH, or SOL ✧ Instead, ape only into consistent winners assets that already show strong moves But it still has room to grow compared to the majors I mentioned
20/➮ Back on Oct 8, I said that I feel like we're somewhere close to a local top and there is going to be a bigger flash crash Now I am telling that we are 2-3 months away from bull run peak (and I will be 90% in stables at that time) Remember: You should sell when it can’t
➮ More free educational content calls in my TG: https://t.me/cyclopalpha ✧ Real alpha, degen calls, and mentorship across all crypto fields: airdrops, memes, futures trading, arbitrage - all covered by 12 elite mentors in my private group for just $99/m: https://degenuniversity.xyz/
➮ Liked this thread? I write educational threads daily, so don't forget to: ✧ Follow me @nobrainflip ✧ Join my paid private group: https://degenuniversity.xyz/ ✧ Like, RT, bookmark and leave a comment on the first tweet 👇 https://x.com/nobrainflip/stat...
@nobrainflip Mathematically, crypto is the only place you can make millions from $0 (without handjobs)
@nobrainflip Show tx history or fake
@nobrainflip Bookmarking for humor as we go below 10k
@nobrainflip Thank you for the constant Alpha ser
@nobrainflip It's amazing to hear your journey, and your insights are really helpful. Thanks for sharing and best of luck navigating this market stage!
@nobrainflip Whale thread. Worth reading. Thanks Cyclop.
@nobrainflip I bet the peak is already in
@nobrainflip Cycles never lie anon… but they sure know how to wreck the greedy
@nobrainflip Thanks Master. I Listen
@nobrainflip Congrats legend, protect capital first





