The full 20 points of Trump plan were what was first presented to public in Sept as US rallied support for effort, Witkoff & Kushner decided to split them in 2, only securing Israeli & Hamas signatures on 1st phase pertaining to ceasefire, IDF pullback & hostage swap (2/29)

For the time being, the points detailing the postwar management of Gaza & Hamas’s disarmament remain on paper US working to actualize phase 2 & began w/ creation of Civil-Military Coordination Center in Kiryat Gat, which serves as hub for monitoring & sustaining ceasefire(3/29)

US recruited the UK, Canada, Germany, Denmark and Jordan to take part in the CMCC & their flags were set up on site But most other details regarding phase two are still being hammered out, and the US has shared very little on how Gaza will be governed, secured, and rebuilt(4/29)

Kushner, at the press conference, said “there are considerations” to launch construction projects in Gaza areas that the IDF still controls — over 50 percent of the Strip, even after its partial withdrawal commencing the ceasefire. (5/29)

A senior Trump aide briefing reporters earlier this month highlighted the southern Gaza city of Rafah as a potential candidate for such an inaugural construction project, as it was already completely leveled during Israeli military operations over the past two years. (6/29)

But focusing on mostly eastern half of Gaza still under IDF control — while forgoing western half where Hamas reasserting its dominance — risks losing support of some key Arab allies who Washington is hoping will help stabilize the postwar Strip. (7/29)

To varying degrees, Egypt, Jordan, UAE & Saudi believe that prioritizing IDF-controlled areas will engrain status quo in Gaza, a senior Arab diplo from one of those countries told The Times of Israel. Israel will keep its half of Gaza, while Hamas will keep its half. (8/29)

Instead, those four countries have advocated for a more holistic approach in which a technocratic Palestinian government tied to the Palestinian Authority is phased in to run all parts of Gaza to isolate and weaken Hamas. (9/29)

The four Arab countries have indicated willingness to either contribute funds to this effort or assist in the establishment of an International Stabilization Force (ISF) that will gradually replace the IDF in Gaza, the Arab diplomat and a US official said. (10/29)

But Israel has made clear that it will condition the IDF’s continued withdrawal on the disarmament of Hamas, which the terror group has shown little indication that it is prepared to carry out. (11/29)

The senior Arab diplo said compromise could be struck whereby Hamas agrees to give up “heavy weaponry.” This would still leave Hamas with the “light weapons” it used to carry out the Oct 7 attack, and that it continues to utilize to terrorize Gazans since ceasefire. (12/29)

However, the Arab diplomat said that the threat of Hamas could be mitigated, as the technocratic Palestinian government and ISF pick up steam and legitimacy throughout the Strip. (13/29)

An Israeli official pushed back on this notion, arguing that neither the technocratic government nor the ISF will be able to assert control in Gaza so long as Hamas maintains its weapons, whether they’re missiles or AK-47s. (14/29)

The Arab diplo did acknowledge that no country will be willing to contribute troops if expectation is for ISF to spar w/ Hamas, rejecting Trump’s claim to contrary. “If the US isn’t interested in sending troops to fight Hamas, why would any of us want to?” diplo asked (15/29)

“We can help w/ training Pal police & border security, but we’re not about to try & disarm Hamas through combat after 2 years of IDF failure,” diplo added But assistance still conditioned on PA involvement, which the 4 Arab states see as their off-ramp out of the Strip (16/29)

Netanyahu has pushed back forcefully on the PA gaining a foothold in Gaza, likening it to Hamas and insisting that it is too irremediable for a role in the Strip. The US will have to decide which red line regarding Ramallah to respect. (17/29)

Kushner’s memories of the PA far from nostalgic, given that Abbas refused to engage w/ his peace plan during 1st term. Witkoff, however, was not involved in that initiative and has built a rapport with Abbas’s deputy, Hussein al-Sheikh, after meeting him twice this year. (18/29)

Sheikh is slated to meet with a delegation of senior US officials in the region over the weekend, a source familiar with the matter told The Times of Israel, in an indication that Washington is not looking to box Ramallah out of the process entirely. (19/29)

Even if the US does side with its Arab allies regarding the PA’s role in Gaza, that’s not the end of their conditions for involvement in the postwar stabilization of the Strip. (20/29)

“We’re seeking assurances that Gaza doesn’t become Lebanon,” the Arab diplomat said, referring to the dynamic along Israel’s northern border where the IDF has carried out near-daily strikes targeting Hezbollah positions over alleged violations of a November ceasefire. (21/29)

“There can be a discussion about when Israel can engage, but the [technocratic government and the ISF] need to be given the space and legitimacy to operate,” the diplomat added. (22/29)

In another indication of US thinking on the matter, Rubio told reporters Thursday that once CMCC is up & running, “work will begin [on]… going to the UN potentially and getting the international mandate [to] build the international defense security forces (ISF).” (23/29)

This appeared to be the first time US official has publicly declared admin seeking UN mandate for ISF Arab diplo said hearing this was relief for many potential contributing countries, as itll require more int consensus to stand up & conclude ISF under UN mandate (24/30)

The other option the US is considering would see it relying less on Saudi, UAE, Egypt, Jordan & more on Qatar, which has fewer conditions for its involvement “Qataris aren’t getting into how Gaza split up or if there’s UN mandate or role for PA,” Israeli official said. (25/29)

Accordingly, the senior Arab diplomat speculated that Netanyahu — despite recentbaggage — will ultimately prefer allowing Qatar to play a role in postwar Gaza to avoid the conditions that come with the support from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan. (26/29)

“Ultimately, it will be up to Jared to decide,” said the Arab diplomat, suggesting that Trump’s son-in-law is the main decision maker regarding the implementation of phase two, as opposed to Witkoff. (27/29)

Trump declared the commencement of the Gaza deal’s second phase already last week, but too many questions regarding its implementation have yet to be answered. (28/29)

The senior Arab diplomat speculated to @TimesofIsrael that there won’t be any answers until president hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House on November 18. “That’s when I’d expect things to start moving again,” the diplomat said. (29/29)