@nntaleb Jews and their God-given homeland have survived for 4000+ years, and we Jews just circled back to decolonize our homeland 77 years ago after dozens of Empires tried to get rid of us and faded away into oblivion. So keep dreaming…

@nntaleb ... it won't survive forever, but it may survive longer than millions of its victims. The CCP murdered 60 - 70 million Chinese during their Cultural Revolution of the 1960s and they still rule over one billion Chinese.

@nntaleb Also, I can’t recall any other ‘victims’ dropping millions on PR campaigns to remind the world they’re victims.

@nntaleb Truth doesn’t need marketing. Lies do.

@nntaleb Interesting you share this after meeting with branko milanovic

@nntaleb Truth doesn’t need a PR team to breathe.

@nntaleb No regime will survive. The question is how long it will take before it fails. Maybe there is a function that predicts depending on the level of propaganda how fast a regime will fail.

@nntaleb An insatiable parasite usually does off with its host...

@nntaleb Are you referring to the Islamic Republic of Iran?

@nntaleb If a regime (or entity) requires : Swiss Air bombing 1970 etc. Munich 1972 Ma'alot 1974 Coastal H'way 1978 9/11 10/7 ... just to survive, it won't survive. Marwhan Barghouti seems the only choice left not killed by zion. but zion refuse to release him

@nntaleb True, but that temporal inevitability can be a long time.

@nntaleb If you don’t know Hamas is barbaric evil and Israel is everything we admire in western civilization Then go to Lebanon and live with Hezbollah

@nntaleb Exactly. A system that depends on constant messaging to hide its flaws is inherently fragile - truth has a way of breaking through eventually.

@nntaleb What is your opinion of Steve Bannon describing his populist movement’s permanence as a consequence of his followers Antifragility.

@nntaleb In fact, the United States and various European countries are running very well.👍

@nntaleb I won't survive for long, but it will survive long enough to cause a lot of damage.

@nntaleb Things that can't keep going on, won't.

@nntaleb Fact. Matter of time.

@nntaleb North Macedonia is toast.

@nntaleb You remind a good Lebanese colleague who told me once “the amount of time and me invested in educating me to hate Israel guarantees no peace in my lifetime”. As Lebanese, you have a lot more to worry about than Israel existence

@nntaleb If we didn't know this tweet was yours, we'd assume you're describing Palestinian leaders, whose propaganda is so prevalent it has its own term "Pallywood" .... and yet as those familiar with your work we know that you are instead referring to the victims of that propaganda.

@nntaleb In addition, the propaganda becomes even worse over time. For the moment, they try to get control over European Right-Wing populism as their grip on the MAGA base and the European Mainstream softens. And as far as i can see, with disturbingly great success.

@nntaleb With "regime (or entity)" you mean: IL? UA? US? EU? ... (sorted descending by quality of propaganda)

@nntaleb Donald Hoffman's Interface Theory of Perception (ITP) argues evolution shapes our senses for survival fitness, not truth. Like a desktop icon, we perceive a user-friendly "interface" to reality—prioritizing adaptive payoffs over accurate depiction of the objective world.

@nntaleb It can take an awfully long time though, and typically it's not pretty (at first) what happens when it meets its fate. The unwavering will to get along peacefully (+ restrained self-defence) over 30+ yrs is what has been missing here. That is the only way to the Promised Land.

@nntaleb I remember reading Black Swan in 2007 and the witnessing in utter disbelief its predictions of the consequences of regime destabilization in Syria, earthquakes in Japan and of course the financial crisis all come to pass. I hope you're right here too

@nntaleb But it will kill everything before it dies.

@nntaleb

@nntaleb These need to be added to their disorder family: uncertainty, volatility, time, etc.

@nntaleb Sadly, it will cause a massive amount of damage before it finally dies, to its enemies, as well as its friends.

@nntaleb The propaganda coming from the right in the United States is spiraling out of control. They completely lost their minds over this no kings protest 🪧. And: There’s plenty of arguments he’s acting like a king but they just ignore it altogether as his loyal sycophants.

@nntaleb Putin requires propaganda and force, yet he's still there?

@nntaleb All countries fighting wars would generally be spewing out unremitting propaganda no? Isn't that just how the game is played?

@nntaleb It still needs to be opposed and resisted to be defeated. With no opposition, swamp shit can persist in an environment.

@nntaleb Exolain serbia then, almost 14 years of the same asshole

@nntaleb It may if it has a infinite money supply to quell dissent and manage headlines.