Published: October 29, 2025
17
39
343

🚨 🚨 A new poll from @ZenithPolls — on behalf of @YesOnAffHousing — finds that more than two-thirds of NYC likely voters are planning on voting “yes” on ballot proposals 2, 3, 4 & 5 (regarding processes for building new housing in NYC). Lots to cover. Let’s dive in. 🧵

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

First, some methodology: Zenith Research surveyed n=1002 NYC registered voters — including n=837 likely voters — from 10/14-20 (via text-to-web & online panel). All results below are among LVs. Respondents saw each ballot measure exactly how it will appear on their ballots.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson
Image in tweet by Adam Carlson
Image in tweet by Adam Carlson
Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

Respondents also saw messaging supporting and opposing the proposals (shown to them in a randomized order to prevent order bias). Post-messaging exposure, support for each measure only dropped by a net of 5-9 points, with a supermajority still supporting each one.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

Black voters, rent controlled & public housing tenants, and younger voters are among the most supportive of the measures in the initial vote.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

While white voters are the least supportive, each ballot measure receives at least 60% support across all major racial groups. Lower income voters are most supportive of proposals 2-4.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson
Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

In fact, each ballot measure gets at least 50% support across all 109 subgroups we tested with a weighted sample size of at least n=50.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

Mamdani voters are by far the most supportive of the ballot measures, Sliwa voters are least supportive (but still net positive), and Cuomo voters are in the between them.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

Neighborhoods that are most supportive of the proposals include Central & East Brooklyn, the North & East Bronx, and Brownstone Brooklyn.

Image in tweet by Adam Carlson

For reference, the mayoral vote was: 🔵 Mamdani: 45% 🟡 Cuomo: 29% 🔴 Sliwa: 15% 🟢 Adams: 3% (dropped out but is still on ballot) ⚫️ Other: 0% 🟣 Undecided: 7% More details (including crosstabs with 109 subgroup breakouts) on that in the days to come.

Here is the full deck: https://docs.google.com/presen...

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing How come the empty, self-proclaimed “housing hero” Nazi candidate still doesn’t have an opinion on the matter- even though early voting is already underway?

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing Why did you guys not poll Prop 1 and 6?

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing I’m honestly shocked prop 5 has the highest number of nos!! To me it’s the least controversial

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing These are undoubtedly the more important proposals of this election but why not poll prop 6? That one could have interesting ramifications for voting process in NYC

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing appreciate your comprehensive and unbiased polling presentation!

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing do you have prop 6 as well?

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing Zoomers are simply not naive enough to fall for the "gentrification" psyop that swindled millennials into voting for conservatives NIMBY laws that raised their rents. Black folks and Zoomers want a better life.

@admcrlsn @ZenithPolls @YesOnAffHousing They're ballot proposals in NYC? You mean the city council doesn't decide every facet of government there?

Share this thread

Read on Twitter

View original thread

Navigate thread

1/21