It’s time to drop all my stats recapping today’s games via @FantasyPtsData! 1. Drake London’s target shares in his previous 3 games that Darnell Mooney started and finished this year: - 19.0% - 18.6% - 18.4% Drake London’s target share today: 37.8%
2. Although Terrell Jennings received the only backfield carry inside the 5… …TreVeyon Henderson tied for a team-high six targets (20.7% target share), and his 18.3 weighted opportunities were the most by a Patriots RB all season. The role could have been worse, technically.
3. We got a clearer picture of the Vikings’ backfield this week in a non-blowout. Aaron Jones: - 47% backfield carry share - 8.0% target share (10.7% over the L2 weeks) Jordan Mason: - 53% carry share - 4 of the team’s 5 red zone carries (the 5th went to J.J. McCarthy) Two
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown has now seen over one-third of his team’s targets in 5 separate games this year. For perspective, only three WRs — Malik Nabers, Puka Nacua, and Drake London — matched or exceeded that last year. It is only Week 9.
5. It was finally the Rico Dowdle show again in Carolina! - 83% carry share - 15% target share - 2 of 2 carries inside the 5 Dowdle is now averaging 173.0 rushing YPG and 31.5 FPG across his three games with 20+ touches this year.
6. Tucker Kraft left early in the 3rd quarter with a likely ACL tear. The Packers’ target shares after he left: Romeo Doubs - 21.1% Luke Musgrave - 15.8% Christian Watson - 15.8% Savion Williams - 10.5% Josh Jacobs - 10.5% Matthew Golden also left with a shoulder injury.
Doubs has hit a 27% target share in 3 of his last 4 games, but is averaging just 12.3 FPG over that span. Would expect him to continue leading the team in targets. But there’s a real chance Christian Watson starts being relied on even more for splash plays.
7. Troy Franklin has led the Broncos in target share over each of the past three weeks (20.0%, 27.6%, 27.0%, in sequence). He’s only exceeded 13.0 fantasy points in one of those three games. But he clearly has the best role among Broncos WRs.
8. The Texans gave the ball to fullback British Brooks on two of their three backfield attempts inside the 5-yard line (after Chubb's failed). He didn’t convert either, but this definitely takes some wind out of the sails of Woody Marks’ upside case.
9. Kyle Monangai’s opportunity metrics without D’Andre Swift today: - 84% backfield carry share - 13.5% target share - 27.9 weighted opportunities (the most by a Bears RB in any game this season)
10. Colston Loveland’s 118 receiving yards in Week 9 were the 2nd-most by a Bears receiver in any game this season. Since the Bears’ Week 5 bye, Loveland and Tyler Warren are responsible for the exact same percentage of their teams’ receiving yards (18.9%).
11. Chase Brown received 14 targets today. That ties Christian McCaffrey’s Week 3 for the most by any RB in a game this season. Brown’s carry share shot back up to 85% today, after being below 67% in each of his last four games. He’s still the only Bengals RB to receive a
12. 4 of Jaret Patterson’s 9 carries came on the Chargers’ final clock-killing drive… …but Kimani Vidal’s carry share has now declined for two straight weeks: W6 - 75% W7 - 90% W8 - 64% W9 - 57%
13. It was Chimere Dike who scored the punt return TD, but Titans rookie Elic Ayomanor led the team when he set a season-high 28.6% target share this week. In fact, that’s the highest target share any Titan has commanded since Week 1, when Clavin Ridley matched this number.
14. George Kittle has played three full games this season. In them, he’s seen target shares of 7.7%, 15.6%, and 16.7%. For comparison, Kittle commanded at least a 20% target share in 6 of his 8 full games without Brandon Aiyuk last year, averaging 16.3 FPG.
15. Tyrone Tracy received just a 38% backfield carry share, with Devin Singletary taking the rest, including the only one inside the 10. (Tracy did get banged up in the 3rd quarter, but that didn’t affect these numbers much; Singletary had just two touches after Tracy’s last.)
16. Jonathan Taylor in the Colts’ 7 wins this season: - 110.6 rushing YPG (RB1) - 18.4 weighted opportunities/game (RB4) - 28.9 FPG (RB1) In their 2 losses: - 60.5 rushing YPG (RB21) - 14.1 weighted opportunities/game (RB18) - 11.2 FPG (RB25)
17. Jaylen Warren over his last five games: - 73% backfield carry share - 7 of 8 carries inside the 10-yard line - 15.0 weighted opportunities/game (would rank ~RB12) Today was just the second time Kenneth Gainwell out-targeted Warren over this span, but 2 TDs make up for it.
18. Parker Washington has run a route on more than half his team’s dropbacks in four games this year. He’s hit at least a 20% target share in three of those four. But today was the first game within that sample he’s caught more than 40% of his targets.
19. Even if we count overtime as a quarter, Brock Bowers has essentially played 8 quarters of healthy football this year. His “per four quarters” averages in that span: - 10.5 targets (would rank ~WR3) - 115.0 receiving yards (~WR2) - 29.3 fantasy points (~WR1)
20. The Saints have played just over 5 quarters under Tyler Shough over the past 2 weeks. Targets / yards / fantasy points over that span: Rashid Shaheed: 17 / 113 / 22.3 Juwan Johnson: 10 / 66 / 18.6 Chris Olave: 10 / 77 / 14.7 If he doesn’t get traded, Shaheed may be
21. Kyren Williams’ backfield carry shares over the past four weeks: W5: 93% (the game Corum fumbled) W6: 72% W7: 50% W9: 66% But Williams has 6 of 7 carries inside the 5 and is averaging 18.7 FPG over this span. He isn’t really losing the high-value touches.
22. Khalil Shakir led or tied for the team lead in target share (30.8%) for the 5th straight game. Shakir’s averages over that span: - 26.6% target share (~WR9) - 55.6 receiving YPG (~WR37) - 13.5 FPG (~WR23)
23. The Chiefs’ backfield in their first full game without Isiah Pacheco: Kareem Hunt: 69% carry share, 5.9% target share, 3 carries inside the 5 (lost one to Rashee Rice) Brashard Smith: 19% carry share, 2.9% target share Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 12% carry share Hunt is an RB2
That’s all I’ve got for you! If you found this useful, make sure you’re following me (@RyanJ_Heath) and @FantasyPtsData for more throughout the week. Enjoy the rest of SNF!
@FantasyPtsData You may also want to check out Five Stats To Know for a deeper look at some of these trends: https://www.fantasypoints.com/...
@RyanJ_Heath @FantasyPtsData Don't tell Scott Barrett!
@PSports822 @FantasyPtsData I specifically led with this so he'd be forced to RT it
@RyanJ_Heath @FantasyPtsData As it should
