George Robertson

Trump is not stupid but he has a habit of being ignorant and trusting flip intuition more often or not formed by how it will impact "ratings" - realit...

In regards to equity market only one tariff matters and that is the one for Canada. That tariff is like trying to put a tariff up against California,...

Trump is claiming victory and will now ignore deportation lawsuit. what is happened is a very slim majority (5-4) staid the case going on in DC court...

just listened to 'Shrub" spiel with @fejau_inc and started to write on it point by point. but then realized it is one of several of late of meme-mei...

First step is to deal with reality and accept a few axioms. According to the Federal Reserve and pretty well all monetary economists and if one appli...

To sum up, again. As Trump tariffs against Canada can not be applied in the end given the complex symbiotic intertwining of trade between the two cou...

stated since Jan 2025 that there are 2 games with different probability distributions - one the "Trump Effect Game" which has a 1 1/2% to 2% hit to GD...

might be today but soon the "boooutiful" massive stock market rally back to time of Bidenomics. Why? 1) None of Trump's policy stands court review...

Canadian dollar headed to 1.40 or lower as there will be no effective tariffs applied. Some face saving bluster but Trump with Bessent guidance tryin...

Really. The explanation is easy and straight forward and once you accept it and realize it all becomes clear. The POTUS is unhinged, a nut. His ca...

Where I screwed up us thought Roberts warning to Trump would suffice and force him to work with Congress, that the US Constitution would work. What ...

By Jan 21 was yelping about constitutional crisis which wasn't understood until late March. In late March yelping crisis resolved as shown by House H...

there really is not much going on in 10 year risk free rate. the UST 10 year is being gamed by very large HFT basis trades unwind using the treasury...

i showed this when I was getting smacked around so as to have context. YTD performance return, not annualized, to give indication of the risk of my ...

smart ass of me but I beat you by a month. this is Covid repeat and as there is no Covid the bounce will be twice as rapid in terms of markets and f...

lot of commotion in US Treas 10 year but reality for the US risk free 10 year rate is it aint doing much of anything. the US Treasury 10 year is be...

Looks like will lose half of what gained yesterday so prior better fess up. The outside gains for yesterday's PL was not from my framing but that Tru...

Trump had to respond today as he was losing the narrative, or he had to manage to reality otherwise exposed as a con man. So as to not be rolled ove...

only important econ metric is census new home sales and price data tomorrow. the obvious circus clown car aspects of Trump and his cabinet, resulting ...

lot of mention now that credit spreads foreshadow a recession despite large rally yesterday. this is wrong. fixed income rates and spread wider or...